Solana’s Speed and Memecoin Edge Make the Case for a Stellar ETF

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As of October 2024, Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) tracking digital assets reached a record of $100.5 billion, up 13.2% from the previous month. The total value of the digital asset market rose by almost 9% to $2.54 trillion in October. Bitcoin ETPs saw their Assets Under Management (AUM) increase to $83.2 billion, while Ethereum ETPs rose by 1.4% to $10.3 billion.

ETPs’ AUM has risen by 102.9% year-on-year, outpacing the underlying cryptocurrency growth. Spot Bitcoin ETFs, a type of ETP with stricter regulations, made the most notable contribution to this result. They have accumulated net inflows of more than $24 billion since launching in January 2024.

The perpetual appeal of exchange-traded products

Spot Bitcoin ETFs purport improved liquidity and price efficiency for investors, as well as more convenient access to the flagship crypto compared to other means of trading in spot markets. Bitcoin holdings are also an opportunity to diversify portfolios due to Bitcoin’s spectacular rise, having recently broken past $100,000.

The fees are also much lower. Expense ratios on Grayscale Bitcoin Trust and Bitcoin futures ETFs ranged from 0.95% to 2%, in addition to expenses generated from replacing expiring futures contracts. By comparison, the fees for the spot Bitcoin ETFs were 0.2-0.5% at launch. Grayscale’s converted Bitcoin ETF was the costliest at 1.5% but still lower than non-ETP alternatives. After significant regulatory hurdles, the SEC approved Grayscale’s application to convert its Bitcoin trust into an ETF. Grayscale is a prominent player who spent years growing a trust holding ether worth more than $9 billion. That trust was converted to an ether ETF in July 2024.

The next evolution of crypto investment products

Solana is emerging as the next iteration in niche investment products. Grayscale, Bitwise, VanEck, Canary Capital, and 21shares have all announced plans to launch spot Solana ETFs. However, Solana ETFs won’t launch this year in all likelihood, with hopes deferring to 2025. The US Securities and Exchange Commission disclosed to at least two candidates that their applications would be rejected. Its crypto-unfriendly chairman, Gary Gensler, is likely to step down after Donald Trump takes office.

“Grayscale’s recent application to convert its Solana Trust into an ETF could signal the next major evolution in crypto investment products,” confirms Iliya Kalchev, Nexo Dispatch Analyst. “As the market buzzes with speculation on which asset might follow Bitcoin and Ethereum into the ETF spotlight, Solana emerges as a uniquely compelling contender. Solana’s burgeoning popularity makes it a natural candidate for such a transition. Known for its high-speed, low-cost transactions and vibrant ecosystem, Solana has fostered a vast, passionate community that’s driving real-world adoption.”

What’s going to be different once Solana ETFs launch?

Bitcoin ETFs have a combined AUM of over $49 billion, with ether ETFs lagging behind ($7.3 billion). This disparity reflects Bitcoin’s more extended history in the ETF space, broader institutional acceptance, and its status as a “store of value” compared to Ethereum. Despite the gap, Ethereum ETFs are gaining traction, particularly following the 2024 launch of spot Ethereum ETFs, which allow direct tracking of ether’s price. Leading products include the Grayscale Ethereum Trust, with over $4.86 billion in AUM.

What would the prospects of Solana ETFs be once the SEC approves them? Solana’s price hit an all-time high of $262 on November 22, but experts believe this is just the beginning. The world’s fourth-biggest cryptocurrency by market cap reached this record just three years after breaking its previous one, leading UK bank Standard Chartered to predict it would approach $700 by the end of 2025.

The optimistic predictions come against the backdrop of bullish macroeconomic factors. Solana handled transactions worth over $40 billion in mid-November after a weekly record of $17.5 billion in March.

It’s not only high speed and efficiency fueling the surge. Soaring interest in memecoins should definitely not be underestimated. The number of active Solana users has risen by over 1,500% since January, with new daily addresses increasing elevenfold over the same period. Beyond riding the coattails of crypto ETFs’ historical successes, a Solana ETF could bring additional momentum as the go-to blockchain for memecoin projects, as Mr. Kalchev is quick to point out:

“Solana’s community has carved out an entirely new niche within the ecosystem: the memecoin hype. Unlike other blockchains, where memecoins are often seen as fringe projects, Solana has cultivated an environment where these playful assets thrive. This trend has not only spurred increased activity on the network but has arguably turned memecoins into an asset class of their own, representing the hottest phenomenon in crypto after Bitcoin itself.”

The question practically begs itself:

“Could it be memecoins that have propelled Solana into the ETF conversation? Arguably so. And if Grayscale’s application is approved, it could provide a fresh, accessible gateway for institutional and retail investors to tap into Solana’s growing ecosystem and, by extension, the broader crypto market. It’s the most inclusive market cycle we’ve ever seen.”

A Solana ETF would gauge market sentiment and blockchain innovation

Solana ETFs would be unique in their ability to measure sentiment and innovation simultaneously. “A Solana ETF would serve as a twofold barometer: one that measures investor sentiment towards crypto at large, and another that gauges interest in Solana as a cornerstone of blockchain innovation. From the memecoin mania to its broader appeal as a fast, scalable blockchain, Solana encapsulates the spirit of the current market cycle,” Mr. Kalchev concludes.

Disclaimer: This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.